Solving problem N3788 Bayesian probability theory

Solving problem N3788 Bayesian probability theory

3788. There are 200 parts in stock, of which 100 are manufactured by shop No. 1, 60 by shop No. 2 and 40 by shop No. 3. Shop number 1 produces 3% of defective parts, shop number 2 - 2%, shop number 3 - 1%. Randomly taken from stock item was defective. Find the probability that this item is made by shop №2.

Additional information:

Detailed solution. Decorated in Microsoft Word 2003 (Quest decided to use the formula editor)

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